Happy Wednesday.
In an exciting announcement, Polymarket and Kaito have announced the launch of “Attention Markets” for trading on the performance of influencers and trends.
I believe this is a great use case for prediction markets. The “wisdom of the crowd” will be used to predict the actions of the crowd. I would choose the development of markets like these over sports-related or mention-related markets any day of the week. The data produced by these markets will have real world value (ex. as a tool for marketing agencies).
In other news, Robinhood earnings were yesterday. Robinhood has been negatively impacted by the recent drop in crypto, but their CEO believes that prediction market usage on their platform could make up for it.
Lastly, I previously mentioned that the return of Jesus was being priced at an all time high. This tweet explains why:
So the reason this Polymarket “prediction market” is performing so insanely high is because there’s a second market asking if this market will go above 5%. People in the derivative market are manipulating this market. Which defeats the public policy case for prediction markets… pic.twitter.com/fopyFmLkqO
— tedfrank (@tedfrank) February 10, 2026
Sounds like something straight out of The Big Short
Headline Review: The five biggest stories in the world of prediction markets over the past 24 hours. Not affiliated with any of the original news outlets covering these stories.
Polymarket & Kaito AI Announce "Attention Markets" (full story)
Kalshi Faces Backlash Over Cardi B Super Bowl Bet (full story)
Robinhood CEO Predicts "Super Cycle" Despite Earnings Miss (full story)
Logan Paul’s Pokémon Auction Sparks Polymarket Frenzy (full story)
Some lawyers published an interesting article on their worries regarding insider trading within prediction markets (full story)
Whale Watch: the 5 largest trades ($100k minimum) over the past 24 hours across Kalshi and Polymarket
There was only 1 trade above $100k on Kalshi yesterday and it was a sports bet (112K on Chelsea to beat Leeds if you are curious). I have reached my API limit for Polymarket, so I am unable to pull whale movements from them at this moment. Neither of their live trade UI’s work for me currently. I am working with their support teams to find a solution. Thank you for your patience.
Market Maker: 5 new unique (i.e. non repeating) markets added to Kalshi and Polymarket over the past 24 hours
Politics - Will the House vote against Trump's tariffs? (Kalshi)
Tech - What will Bitcoin outperform in February? (Polymarket)
Economics - Bank of England decision in April? (Polymarket)
Weather - How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be this year? (Kalshi)
Culture - "Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die" Opening Weekend Box Office (Polymarket)
Thought I missed anything?
Have anything fresh off the prediction market desk you want to share?
Hit me up on X or Instagram (@readanomaly).
Have a beautiful one,
Javier
(written in Nashville, TN, USA at 8:50 AM CST)